CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-04-23T05:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-04-23T05:12ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/45789/-1
CME Note: CME whose bulk is seen to the northeast with wider shock seen to due east in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2 coronagraphs in association with a long duration M1.2 class solar flare from AR4420 near N16E40. The EUV signature is characterized by a circular EUV wave and dimming signature during the eruption seen best in SDO AIA 193 and GOES SUVI 284.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2026-04-25T19:28Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-04-26T00:45Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
NASA GSFC M2M ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: low2 (256x30x90) Ambient settings: a4b1 Ejecta settings d4t1x1 WSA version: 2.2 GONG: mrzqs cormode: single Based on bulk measurement of CME.Lead Time: 55.20 hour(s)
Difference: -5.28 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Chris Stubenrauch (M2M SWAO) on 2026-04-23T12:16Z
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